COP29 – the 2024 global climate summit – is coming to a close, after two weeks of negotiations in Baku, Azerbaijan.

Climate finance has been a major focus of the summit, particularly the setting of a new finance target called the New Collective Quantified Goal, or NCQG, for tackling climate change. The goal will replace a goal initially agreed in 2009, when developed nations pledged to provide $100 billion annually in climate financing for developing countries. 

(Here’s a quick refresher on COP from the Chartered Accountants Ireland website).

X marks the spot in the draft of the agreement

Negotiations on the first draft agreement on climate finance have failed to produce a document acceptable to all parties. It was immediately deemed inadequate by EU negotiators, with EU Climate Commissioner Wopke Hoekstra stating “As for the text overall, I'm not going to sugarcoat it - it is clearly unacceptable as it stands now”.

The 10-page draft of an agreement on a ‘new collective quantified goal’ (NCQG) did not contain even a range of values for the headline goal, recognising that developing countries need a commitment of at least “USD [X] trillion” per year.

This mystery figure – and who will pay it – are among the sticking points at COP this year, which can be summarized as follows:

• How much money? The amount of finance needed by developing countries to fight climate change has been the subject of much debate. Rich nations have pledged $100 billion a year. Many developing countries say that $1.3 trillion a year is accurate. (For context, $2.4 trillion was spent on weapons in 2023, and at least $1 trillion on fossil fuel subsidies in 2022.)

   

• Grants or loans? Developing countries are advocating for the money to be given in the form of grants from rich governments, and not loans which would add to the national debt of vulnerable countries. Speaking at the summit, Ireland’s Minister from Climate Eamon Ryan, described this as “a fundamental justice issue”, and stated that COP is about “changing the financial system so that fundamental injustice does not continue into the future.” (Minister Ryan has been asked by the UN and the Cop29 presidency to lead negotiations on adaptation).

   

• Public or private? Developed countries want all sources of finance, including public money and private investment, to be counted toward the goal.

   

• Which countries should pay? The definition being used at COP of a ‘developed’ country dates from 1992. Delegates from both developed and developing countries have described this definition as ‘obsolete’. They advocate for China and India in particular to no longer be treated as developing countries and to provide financial assistance to poorer countries.

Other issues

Fossil fuels

At last year’s COP in Dubai, the final agreement contained a pledge to “transition away” from fossil fuels. It was the first time in the history of the climate negotiations that nearly 200 countries agreed to even mention fossil fuels in the agreement.

Many commentators have expressed concern that this pledge is being neglected at this year’s COP in Baku, and the high number of representatives from fossil fuel companies, and the location for the conference itself, has drawn criticism from several sources: Azerbaijan’s total economy is heavily dependent on oil and gas, which account for about half of and more than 90% of its exports, and the Chief Executive of the international climate summit was secretly filmed promoting fossil fuel deal by an undercover climate organisation days before the conference was to get underway.

Who was there – and who wasn’t

Another issue of note this year was the absence of various world leaders (including Ireland’s), although US President Joe Biden did travel to the Amazon to launch the new Brazil Restoration & Bioeconomy Finance Coalition (BRB Finance Coalition), members of which include the World Bank Group and the World Economic Forum.

Europe’s official COP29 delegation was led by Lídia Pereira, with European Commissioner for Climate Action Wopke Hoekstra convening a press conference with representatives of ‘like-minded ambitious countries’ to underscore their commitment to delivering Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) that are aligned with a 1.5°C trajectory.

Ireland’s national statement to the summit was delivered by Minister for Climate Eamon Ryan, who highlighted the importance of a successful conclusion to the talks: “Giving up would be unforgiveable, but success can help restore belief in multilateralism and restore confidence.”

Another Irish commentator at COP29 was the Chair of the Elders and former President of Ireland Mary Robinson. Mrs Robinson drew attention to the discrimination and inequality that climate change causes globally to women and children and was critical of what she described as attempts by the Vatican, Russia and Saudi Arabia to blocking progress on a gender-related climate action plan.  

The Global Carbon Market

Another important highlight of this COP was the endorsement of a global carbon market framework under Article 6 of the Paris Agreement. Under Article 6 countries are able to transfer carbon credits earned from the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions to help one or more countries meet their climate targets. Although the COP29 presidency welcomed this ratification of the last part of the Paris Agreement as an ‘early win’,  other commentators fear that there are still unresolved fundamental and technical issues.

Separately, the Integrity Council for the Voluntary Carbon Market has approved three methodologies for generating high-integrity carbon credits aimed at reducing emissions from deforestation and forest degradation in developing countries (‘REDD+’). The multi-stakeholder-led independent not-for-profit organisation was set up in 2021 in response to the final recommendations of the Taskforce on Scaling the Voluntary Carbon Markets (TSVCM).

Read more

• Fight over cash at climate summit as time runs out at COP29 (BBC)
• COP29 climate talks enter final phase: What happens next? (RTÉ News)
• UAE urges countries to honour fossil fuels vow amid Cop29 impasse (The Guardian)
• COP29: The selfish case for climate finance - New academic paper argues climate-focused grant finance is in rich countries’ economic interest (Financial Times) – Premium
• G20 helps lift mood at Cop29 climate talks (Irish Times)